What recent indications show of the crude oil market may bolster US consumer confidence, but that’s as far as the buck goes. As beneficial as low oil prices may appear on the surface, there are plenty of negative marks on the economy when it comes to lower prices at the pump.
True lower prices encourage the American consumer to drive and consequently spend more. But the gravity of
the economics to the cost of gasoline is
much greater than that. In the end, the difference between the cost of a gallon of gas now and even at its peak is
nominal. The average middle class
worker will spend about $20 less every week on gas; a little more than what they will spend on coffee in the same
period of time. But the struggling
oil market costs the American economy much more than $3/day.
With our economy still in recovery mode from the years’ long housing bubble in 2007 still rippling nationwide, a strong oil market is needed to float recovery in construction. As a matter of fact, the implosion just began subsiding thanks in part to the oil boom in 2010. Obviously construction of oil wells correlates directly with oil production, but so too do residential and commercial development.
For starters, the hundreds of thousands of people employed across Texas oil fields are at risk of losing
their jobs with every cent you witness gas
prices drop on the price board. This impact you much more than you probably realize. That’s because many of these
workers bought houses across the
Oil Belt, stretching from Texas to the Dakotas, with the intention of establishing a home. When they are laid off,
many will be forced to move to lands
of opportunity.
If there is a mass exodus (there are already signs of small migrations from the Oil Belt) we could be left with the same housing glut which dragged down the economy back in 2007. Investors are hopeful the Midwest won’t be the next Florida or Arizona. But with a projected downturn in oil-producing opportunities across America’s heartland, real estate professionals and developers around the country are bracing for impact.